← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Charles Willard 67.8% 22.0% 6.9% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Marten Kendrick 5.7% 16.9% 23.5% 16.3% 15.9% 11.9% 6.4% 3.2% 0.2%
Alexander Katsis 3.3% 8.7% 9.4% 14.2% 14.4% 17.7% 20.1% 9.5% 2.7%
Mark Thompson 4.2% 11.2% 12.8% 15.8% 15.6% 14.9% 17.2% 7.1% 1.2%
Kailey Savacool 5.7% 13.4% 16.8% 15.0% 14.2% 14.3% 12.8% 6.5% 1.3%
Abbie Probst 4.1% 9.1% 9.9% 12.8% 16.2% 18.2% 18.9% 9.1% 1.7%
Jack Gonzales 7.3% 16.2% 17.0% 17.4% 16.7% 13.0% 9.2% 2.7% 0.5%
Brendan Bennett 1.1% 1.6% 2.3% 3.7% 3.8% 6.3% 9.5% 39.1% 32.6%
Ryan Welch 0.8% 0.9% 1.4% 2.2% 2.6% 3.6% 5.9% 22.8% 59.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.