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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.55+0.47vs Predicted
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2Georgia Institute of Technology1.55+1.98vs Predicted
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3Duke University0.72+2.25vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University0.89+0.84vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.04-0.47vs Predicted
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6Clemson University0.74-0.86vs Predicted
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7University of South Carolina1.36-2.88vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.83-0.44vs Predicted
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9Davidson College-1.35-0.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.47College of Charleston3.550.7%1st Place
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3.98Georgia Institute of Technology1.550.1%1st Place
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5.25Duke University0.720.0%1st Place
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4.84North Carolina State University0.890.0%1st Place
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4.53University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.040.1%1st Place
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5.14Clemson University0.740.0%1st Place
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4.12University of South Carolina1.360.1%1st Place
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7.56University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.830.0%1st Place
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8.12Davidson College-1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Willard | 67.8% | 22.0% | 6.9% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marten Kendrick | 5.7% | 16.9% | 23.5% | 16.3% | 15.9% | 11.9% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 0.2% |
| Alexander Katsis | 3.3% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 14.2% | 14.4% | 17.7% | 20.1% | 9.5% | 2.7% |
| Mark Thompson | 4.2% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 15.8% | 15.6% | 14.9% | 17.2% | 7.1% | 1.2% |
| Kailey Savacool | 5.7% | 13.4% | 16.8% | 15.0% | 14.2% | 14.3% | 12.8% | 6.5% | 1.3% |
| Abbie Probst | 4.1% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 16.2% | 18.2% | 18.9% | 9.1% | 1.7% |
| Jack Gonzales | 7.3% | 16.2% | 17.0% | 17.4% | 16.7% | 13.0% | 9.2% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Brendan Bennett | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 39.1% | 32.6% |
| Ryan Welch | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 22.8% | 59.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.