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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Charles Willard 67.7% 22.9% 6.4% 2.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Marten Kendrick 5.7% 17.9% 22.1% 18.0% 13.2% 11.9% 8.5% 2.3% 0.4%
Kailey Savacool 5.0% 11.5% 13.8% 14.7% 18.6% 15.0% 14.5% 5.9% 1.0%
Brendan Bennett 0.8% 1.3% 3.5% 4.0% 4.1% 7.3% 10.3% 37.6% 31.1%
Mark Thompson 4.8% 11.5% 15.3% 12.9% 13.8% 15.1% 17.5% 7.1% 2.0%
Abbie Probst 3.9% 8.7% 11.1% 13.1% 16.3% 18.5% 16.4% 10.3% 1.7%
Ryan Welch 0.6% 1.0% 1.5% 2.6% 2.3% 3.3% 6.6% 22.0% 60.1%
Alexander Katsis 4.1% 9.1% 10.1% 12.8% 14.8% 16.9% 17.6% 11.4% 3.2%
Jack Gonzales 7.4% 16.1% 16.2% 19.4% 16.5% 11.9% 8.6% 3.4% 0.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.