← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston3.55+0.45vs Predicted
-
2Georgia Institute of Technology1.55+1.99vs Predicted
-
3University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.04+1.69vs Predicted
-
4University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.83+3.47vs Predicted
-
5North Carolina State University0.89-0.18vs Predicted
-
6Clemson University0.74-0.88vs Predicted
-
7Davidson College-1.35+1.12vs Predicted
-
8Duke University0.72-2.78vs Predicted
-
9University of South Carolina1.36-4.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.45College of Charleston3.550.7%1st Place
-
3.99Georgia Institute of Technology1.550.1%1st Place
-
4.69University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.040.1%1st Place
-
7.47University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.830.0%1st Place
-
4.82North Carolina State University0.890.0%1st Place
-
5.12Clemson University0.740.0%1st Place
-
8.12Davidson College-1.350.0%1st Place
-
5.22Duke University0.720.0%1st Place
-
4.12University of South Carolina1.360.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Willard | 67.7% | 22.9% | 6.4% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marten Kendrick | 5.7% | 17.9% | 22.1% | 18.0% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 8.5% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Kailey Savacool | 5.0% | 11.5% | 13.8% | 14.7% | 18.6% | 15.0% | 14.5% | 5.9% | 1.0% |
| Brendan Bennett | 0.8% | 1.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 37.6% | 31.1% |
| Mark Thompson | 4.8% | 11.5% | 15.3% | 12.9% | 13.8% | 15.1% | 17.5% | 7.1% | 2.0% |
| Abbie Probst | 3.9% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 16.3% | 18.5% | 16.4% | 10.3% | 1.7% |
| Ryan Welch | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 6.6% | 22.0% | 60.1% |
| Alexander Katsis | 4.1% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 14.8% | 16.9% | 17.6% | 11.4% | 3.2% |
| Jack Gonzales | 7.4% | 16.1% | 16.2% | 19.4% | 16.5% | 11.9% | 8.6% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.