Race 8A

saisa-np

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Charles Willard 65.9% 23.4% 8.1% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Abbie Probst 2.6% 7.1% 10.8% 13.7% 15.0% 16.6% 20.3% 10.8% 3.1%
Marten Kendrick 8.7% 18.9% 20.1% 16.1% 15.4% 11.6% 7.3% 1.7% 0.2%
Brendan Bennett 0.8% 1.8% 2.8% 3.3% 5.3% 6.5% 11.4% 36.2% 31.9%
Mark Thompson 4.6% 12.3% 13.9% 15.4% 12.8% 15.5% 14.9% 8.5% 2.1%
Kailey Savacool 5.4% 11.2% 13.4% 17.3% 17.4% 15.5% 12.2% 5.7% 1.9%
Jack Gonzales 7.0% 16.0% 19.3% 16.5% 16.5% 13.0% 8.2% 3.1% 0.4%
Ryan Welch 0.9% 1.1% 1.5% 2.0% 2.8% 3.9% 6.6% 24.2% 57.0%
Alexander Katsis 4.1% 8.2% 10.1% 13.7% 14.3% 17.3% 19.1% 9.8% 3.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.