← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.40+9.41vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.58+5.83vs Predicted
-
3Bowdoin College2.06+3.33vs Predicted
-
4Boston University1.07+8.02vs Predicted
-
5Boston College2.02+1.59vs Predicted
-
6Dartmouth College2.39-0.06vs Predicted
-
7Yale University2.29-1.17vs Predicted
-
8Connecticut College0.89+2.53vs Predicted
-
9Harvard University2.48-3.39vs Predicted
-
10Maine Maritime Academy-0.65+5.77vs Predicted
-
11University of Vermont1.05-0.44vs Predicted
-
12Brown University2.37-5.07vs Predicted
-
13Roger Williams University2.40-6.93vs Predicted
-
14Northeastern University1.07-3.02vs Predicted
-
15University of Rhode Island1.42-4.33vs Predicted
-
16Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.03-2.06vs Predicted
-
17University of New Hampshire-0.37-1.87vs Predicted
-
18Tufts University1.27-8.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
10.41U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.403.5%1st Place
-
7.83Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.587.1%1st Place
-
6.33Bowdoin College2.069.7%1st Place
-
12.02Boston University1.071.8%1st Place
-
6.59Boston College2.028.8%1st Place
-
5.94Dartmouth College2.3911.4%1st Place
-
5.83Yale University2.2911.3%1st Place
-
10.53Connecticut College0.892.9%1st Place
-
5.61Harvard University2.4811.3%1st Place
-
15.77Maine Maritime Academy-0.650.3%1st Place
-
10.56University of Vermont1.052.9%1st Place
-
6.93Brown University2.377.6%1st Place
-
6.07Roger Williams University2.4010.0%1st Place
-
10.98Northeastern University1.072.8%1st Place
-
10.67University of Rhode Island1.423.2%1st Place
-
13.94Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.031.2%1st Place
-
15.13University of New Hampshire-0.370.4%1st Place
-
9.86Tufts University1.273.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Whiteway | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 1.4% |
| Robert Ulmer | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Sam Bonauto | 9.7% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Porter Bell | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 4.5% |
| Jack Redmond | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 11.4% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 11.3% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Scholz | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 1.4% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 11.3% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Stolp | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 10.7% | 19.1% | 43.5% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 1.1% |
| Blake Behrens | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 10.0% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 5.3% | 1.7% |
| Henry Lee | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 1.7% |
| Luke Kenahan | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 15.0% | 19.4% | 15.2% |
| Ted Richardsson | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 12.2% | 22.4% | 28.7% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.