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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College2.74+0.94vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.87+0.77vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.31+0.41vs Predicted
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5Rollins College0.44-0.71vs Predicted
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6Florida State University2.08-3.35vs Predicted
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7Embry-Riddle University-2.89-1.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.94Eckerd College2.740.4%1st Place
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2.77Jacksonville University1.870.2%1st Place
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3.41University of South Florida1.310.1%1st Place
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4.29Rollins College0.440.0%1st Place
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2.65Florida State University2.080.2%1st Place
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5.95Embry-Riddle University-2.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geoffrey Nelson | 44.2% | 29.1% | 17.4% | 7.4% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Peter Hidley | 20.1% | 24.3% | 24.0% | 22.1% | 9.3% | 0.2% |
| Sara Simon | 10.7% | 14.0% | 21.5% | 31.9% | 21.5% | 0.4% |
| Nelson Millett | 3.4% | 6.4% | 10.1% | 19.7% | 58.5% | 1.9% |
| Curtis Woodworth | 21.5% | 25.9% | 26.5% | 18.7% | 7.0% | 0.4% |
| Trevor Johnson | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 1.9% | 97.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.