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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College2.74+0.95vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.87+0.79vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.31+0.40vs Predicted
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4Florida State University2.08-1.43vs Predicted
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6Rollins College0.44-1.64vs Predicted
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7Embry-Riddle University-2.89-1.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.95Eckerd College2.740.4%1st Place
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2.79Jacksonville University1.870.2%1st Place
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3.4University of South Florida1.310.1%1st Place
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2.57Florida State University2.080.2%1st Place
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4.36Rollins College0.440.0%1st Place
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5.93Embry-Riddle University-2.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geoffrey Nelson | 43.4% | 29.9% | 17.1% | 7.6% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Hidley | 18.3% | 24.4% | 26.5% | 21.5% | 9.1% | 0.2% |
| Sara Simon | 11.5% | 14.0% | 19.8% | 33.3% | 21.0% | 0.4% |
| Curtis Woodworth | 23.1% | 26.0% | 27.2% | 18.4% | 5.2% | 0.1% |
| Nelson Millett | 3.6% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 18.8% | 59.5% | 3.6% |
| Trevor Johnson | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 3.2% | 95.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.