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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College2.74+0.95vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.87+0.78vs Predicted
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4Rollins College0.44+0.25vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.31-1.59vs Predicted
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6Florida State University2.08-3.33vs Predicted
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7Embry-Riddle University-2.89-1.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.95Eckerd College2.740.4%1st Place
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2.78Jacksonville University1.870.2%1st Place
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4.25Rollins College0.440.0%1st Place
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3.41University of South Florida1.310.1%1st Place
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2.67Florida State University2.080.2%1st Place
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5.94Embry-Riddle University-2.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geoffrey Nelson | 44.3% | 28.8% | 16.3% | 8.6% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Hidley | 19.1% | 24.3% | 26.5% | 20.0% | 10.0% | 0.1% |
| Nelson Millett | 4.9% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 17.8% | 58.6% | 2.3% |
| Sara Simon | 10.4% | 14.2% | 21.4% | 32.8% | 20.8% | 0.4% |
| Curtis Woodworth | 21.2% | 25.6% | 25.9% | 20.0% | 7.0% | 0.3% |
| Trevor Johnson | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 96.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.