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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College2.74+0.95vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.31+1.40vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.87-0.19vs Predicted
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4Florida State University2.08-1.45vs Predicted
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6Rollins College0.44-1.64vs Predicted
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7Embry-Riddle University-2.89-1.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.95Eckerd College2.740.4%1st Place
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3.4University of South Florida1.310.1%1st Place
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2.81Jacksonville University1.870.2%1st Place
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2.55Florida State University2.080.2%1st Place
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4.36Rollins College0.440.0%1st Place
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5.94Embry-Riddle University-2.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geoffrey Nelson | 44.6% | 28.6% | 16.4% | 8.2% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Sara Simon | 10.1% | 17.2% | 18.7% | 30.7% | 22.7% | 0.6% |
| Peter Hidley | 18.3% | 22.2% | 28.3% | 23.0% | 8.1% | 0.1% |
| Curtis Woodworth | 23.7% | 26.3% | 26.3% | 19.1% | 4.5% | 0.1% |
| Nelson Millett | 3.3% | 5.5% | 9.8% | 18.6% | 59.3% | 3.5% |
| Trevor Johnson | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 3.2% | 95.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.