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📊 Prediction Accuracy
5.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.48+4.59vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.40+3.93vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.02+3.72vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.58+3.85vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College1.00+5.97vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.42+3.01vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.03+7.03vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.05+2.62vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.39-2.69vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.07+2.28vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.06-4.72vs Predicted
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12Yale University2.29-6.01vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.37-5.96vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.40-3.40vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy-0.65+0.82vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.27-6.03vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.07-6.04vs Predicted
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18University of New Hampshire-0.37-2.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.59Harvard University2.4812.0%1st Place
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5.93Roger Williams University2.4010.1%1st Place
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6.72Boston College2.028.1%1st Place
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7.85Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.585.5%1st Place
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10.97Connecticut College1.003.4%1st Place
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9.01University of Rhode Island1.425.2%1st Place
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14.03Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.031.0%1st Place
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10.62University of Vermont1.053.2%1st Place
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6.31Dartmouth College2.3910.5%1st Place
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12.28Boston University1.071.8%1st Place
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6.28Bowdoin College2.069.9%1st Place
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5.99Yale University2.2910.0%1st Place
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7.04Brown University2.378.8%1st Place
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10.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.402.8%1st Place
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15.82Maine Maritime Academy-0.650.5%1st Place
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9.97Tufts University1.274.5%1st Place
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10.96Northeastern University1.071.9%1st Place
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15.03University of New Hampshire-0.370.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Callahan | 12.0% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 10.1% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Redmond | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Robert Ulmer | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| William Hurd | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 2.2% |
| Tyler Nash | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Luke Kenahan | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 15.1% | 21.2% | 14.6% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Porter Bell | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 5.1% |
| Sam Bonauto | 9.9% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 10.0% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Blake Behrens | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| Griffin Stolp | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 10.8% | 19.5% | 44.0% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Joshua Dillon | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 5.6% | 1.5% |
| Ted Richardsson | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 12.6% | 22.4% | 28.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.