← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Roger Williams University4.78+6.02vs Predicted
-
2Yale University4.19+7.64vs Predicted
-
3Boston College4.89+3.67vs Predicted
-
4St. Mary's College of Maryland4.83+2.82vs Predicted
-
5Dartmouth College4.06+5.17vs Predicted
-
6Brown University4.49+2.30vs Predicted
-
7College of Charleston3.64+5.46vs Predicted
-
8Stanford University4.05+2.04vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.48+3.73vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63-2.32vs Predicted
-
11Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.79+0.50vs Predicted
-
12Old Dominion University3.76-0.21vs Predicted
-
13Salve Regina University3.92-1.75vs Predicted
-
14Boston University3.63-1.81vs Predicted
-
15University of Connecticut2.51+1.27vs Predicted
-
16Harvard University4.52-7.85vs Predicted
-
17Tufts University3.70-5.35vs Predicted
-
18U. S. Naval Academy4.34-9.02vs Predicted
-
19Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-8.14vs Predicted
-
20University of Wisconsin2.72-4.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.02Roger Williams University4.780.1%1st Place
-
9.64Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
-
6.67Boston College4.890.1%1st Place
-
6.82St. Mary's College of Maryland4.830.1%1st Place
-
10.17Dartmouth College4.060.0%1st Place
-
8.3Brown University4.490.1%1st Place
-
12.46College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
-
10.04Stanford University4.050.0%1st Place
-
12.73U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.480.0%1st Place
-
7.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.1%1st Place
-
11.5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.790.0%1st Place
-
11.79Old Dominion University3.760.0%1st Place
-
11.25Salve Regina University3.920.0%1st Place
-
12.19Boston University3.630.0%1st Place
-
16.27University of Connecticut2.510.0%1st Place
-
8.15Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
-
11.65Tufts University3.700.0%1st Place
-
8.98U. S. Naval Academy4.340.1%1st Place
-
10.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.0%1st Place
-
15.84University of Wisconsin2.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cy Thompson | 9.5% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Morris | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Tyler Sinks | 10.7% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Menninger | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sam Williams | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Fred Strammer | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Mac Mace | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 5.0% |
| Kevin Laube | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Ian Holtzworth | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 5.5% |
| Samuel Ingham | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Sam Padnos | 4.4% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% |
| Stephanie Roble | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 3.0% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 3.4% |
| Daniel Perkins | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 4.8% |
| Sean Andrew | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 10.1% | 14.5% | 37.1% |
| Alan Palmer | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Massimo Soriano | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.3% |
| Robert Vann | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Sommer | 4.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.2% |
| Brendan Boylan | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 10.4% | 17.7% | 26.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.