Race 2A

south-series

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Eric Anderson 8.5% 8.2% 12.0% 12.6% 12.0% 14.2% 12.9% 11.4% 5.1% 2.3% 0.8% 0.0%
Camille Matile 8.1% 10.4% 12.2% 11.5% 11.8% 14.1% 11.0% 11.8% 6.0% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
Alexander Tong 21.5% 19.2% 17.7% 12.4% 11.3% 8.7% 6.3% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Patrick Isherwood 10.5% 14.7% 13.7% 14.2% 13.3% 11.8% 10.1% 6.3% 3.7% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Shannon Killian 5.9% 6.5% 8.7% 10.4% 10.0% 14.1% 12.9% 12.9% 10.7% 5.3% 2.3% 0.3%
Justine Mitchell 1.8% 1.6% 2.5% 2.9% 4.6% 4.7% 6.3% 9.8% 18.8% 22.5% 16.9% 7.6%
OJ O'Connell 28.4% 22.2% 15.9% 13.5% 10.0% 4.8% 3.5% 1.1% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jeffrey Adam 6.0% 7.0% 6.5% 9.2% 10.5% 10.6% 11.8% 15.5% 11.7% 7.2% 3.5% 0.5%
George Williams 0.8% 1.5% 0.9% 1.4% 2.2% 2.1% 4.4% 7.1% 13.8% 19.2% 25.8% 20.8%
Lindsey Kennett 6.5% 7.2% 8.0% 9.4% 11.3% 11.1% 15.9% 13.3% 10.7% 5.1% 1.0% 0.5%
Tatum McLaughlin 1.1% 0.7% 1.0% 1.4% 0.9% 1.8% 2.5% 4.0% 8.3% 15.2% 26.3% 36.8%
William Herlihy 0.9% 0.8% 0.9% 1.1% 2.1% 2.0% 2.4% 4.8% 9.9% 19.2% 22.5% 33.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.