Race 3A

south-series

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Eric Anderson 9.3% 8.8% 10.4% 11.6% 14.0% 14.5% 12.8% 8.5% 7.0% 2.3% 0.8% 0.0%
OJ O'Connell 25.6% 23.9% 18.0% 11.4% 9.0% 6.4% 3.6% 1.5% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexander Tong 20.5% 19.7% 16.9% 14.7% 13.0% 6.8% 4.8% 2.7% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jeffrey Adam 5.1% 5.7% 6.1% 9.2% 11.7% 11.4% 13.2% 14.1% 12.1% 8.5% 2.3% 0.6%
Patrick Isherwood 12.0% 13.5% 15.8% 12.7% 11.4% 11.9% 9.2% 7.8% 4.3% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Shannon Killian 6.1% 7.6% 7.3% 9.8% 10.5% 12.4% 14.8% 13.8% 10.4% 5.0% 1.6% 0.7%
Camille Matile 9.7% 10.4% 10.8% 12.3% 11.4% 13.1% 12.1% 10.5% 6.0% 2.4% 1.1% 0.2%
Lindsey Kennett 7.8% 6.7% 8.2% 10.3% 10.0% 11.7% 12.4% 13.8% 11.5% 4.9% 2.3% 0.4%
Justine Mitchell 1.7% 1.4% 2.4% 3.4% 2.9% 5.9% 7.3% 12.1% 17.5% 23.0% 15.7% 6.7%
William Herlihy 0.6% 0.5% 1.6% 2.5% 1.8% 2.2% 2.9% 3.9% 11.6% 16.0% 26.5% 29.9%
George Williams 1.1% 0.8% 1.5% 1.0% 2.3% 2.3% 4.0% 7.4% 10.7% 20.2% 24.1% 24.6%
Tatum McLaughlin 0.5% 1.0% 1.0% 1.1% 2.0% 1.4% 2.9% 3.9% 7.4% 16.5% 25.4% 36.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.