Race 4A

south-series

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Eric Anderson 9.3% 9.8% 9.2% 12.9% 13.1% 13.4% 13.2% 10.2% 5.7% 2.8% 0.4% 0.0%
OJ O'Connell 27.0% 23.0% 17.0% 12.2% 9.7% 6.0% 3.0% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexander Tong 21.6% 19.6% 15.3% 15.2% 11.4% 8.4% 5.4% 2.1% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Patrick Isherwood 10.4% 14.3% 15.9% 12.2% 13.0% 11.2% 10.8% 6.1% 4.5% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Lindsey Kennett 6.3% 6.5% 8.7% 8.9% 11.1% 12.3% 12.4% 14.7% 10.3% 6.2% 2.2% 0.4%
Jeffrey Adam 5.7% 6.3% 6.2% 7.9% 7.8% 12.7% 13.0% 16.0% 14.4% 7.3% 2.0% 0.7%
Camille Matile 10.0% 10.3% 12.0% 10.2% 12.3% 11.9% 13.0% 9.6% 6.7% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2%
Justine Mitchell 1.6% 1.8% 3.1% 3.5% 4.2% 4.1% 7.6% 10.6% 17.3% 21.4% 17.1% 7.7%
Shannon Killian 5.7% 5.8% 9.5% 11.6% 12.3% 12.2% 12.4% 14.4% 10.6% 4.3% 1.1% 0.1%
William Herlihy 0.6% 0.8% 1.4% 2.5% 1.8% 2.5% 2.3% 4.8% 9.8% 19.3% 24.3% 29.9%
George Williams 1.2% 1.0% 1.3% 1.1% 1.8% 2.9% 4.5% 6.0% 10.9% 19.5% 26.3% 23.5%
Tatum McLaughlin 0.6% 0.8% 0.4% 1.8% 1.5% 2.4% 2.4% 4.0% 8.4% 14.8% 25.4% 37.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.