Race 5A

south-series

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Eric Anderson 10.4% 9.7% 10.4% 10.8% 11.6% 10.6% 9.6% 9.5% 8.0% 6.9% 1.8% 0.7%
Alexander Tong 22.5% 20.7% 15.1% 12.7% 11.3% 6.6% 4.4% 4.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Patrick Isherwood 13.8% 13.1% 13.3% 11.3% 10.7% 13.5% 8.7% 7.4% 4.4% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1%
Camille Matile 9.0% 10.7% 11.2% 11.8% 11.0% 10.0% 10.0% 9.1% 7.4% 6.5% 2.7% 0.6%
Henry O'Brien 10.6% 11.6% 12.9% 11.0% 10.7% 9.7% 9.4% 8.0% 8.2% 4.4% 3.0% 0.5%
Lindsey Kennett 6.5% 9.1% 6.6% 7.5% 10.1% 8.7% 10.5% 11.0% 11.2% 10.0% 6.9% 1.9%
Lewis Fowler-Gerace 4.3% 4.5% 4.8% 5.9% 6.0% 6.5% 8.7% 9.6% 11.5% 15.4% 15.4% 7.4%
Jeffrey Adam 7.5% 6.6% 7.5% 6.5% 7.8% 9.1% 10.4% 11.0% 11.0% 11.3% 8.5% 2.8%
Mateus Guimaraes 1.5% 1.6% 1.7% 3.2% 2.0% 3.8% 5.2% 6.1% 8.7% 13.0% 29.7% 23.5%
William Herlihy 0.7% 0.9% 1.4% 2.0% 2.2% 1.6% 1.6% 2.9% 4.1% 7.8% 16.8% 58.0%
Sarah Fuller 5.8% 5.3% 7.7% 6.9% 7.9% 9.9% 10.9% 9.8% 13.1% 12.0% 7.8% 2.9%
Shannon Killian 7.4% 6.2% 7.4% 10.4% 8.7% 10.0% 10.6% 10.7% 11.2% 9.4% 6.4% 1.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.