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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.26+2.46vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.51+3.13vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.72+1.61vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.41+1.42vs Predicted
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5University of Connecticut1.93+1.65vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.05+0.37vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.45-1.80vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-1.40vs Predicted
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9Sacred Heart University-0.03+1.72vs Predicted
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10Fairfield University0.66-0.46vs Predicted
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11Wesleyan University1.45-2.99vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University2.08-6.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.46Tufts University3.260.2%1st Place
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5.13University of Vermont2.510.1%1st Place
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4.61University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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5.42Northeastern University2.410.1%1st Place
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6.65University of Connecticut1.930.1%1st Place
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6.37Boston University2.050.1%1st Place
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5.2Yale University2.450.1%1st Place
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6.6Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.1%1st Place
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10.72Sacred Heart University-0.030.0%1st Place
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9.54Fairfield University0.660.0%1st Place
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8.01Wesleyan University1.450.0%1st Place
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6.3Salve Regina University2.080.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Tong | 22.0% | 19.3% | 17.5% | 13.1% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Henry O'Brien | 9.9% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 14.4% | 12.0% | 14.1% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Camille Matile | 9.0% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
| Sarah Fuller | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 7.9% | 2.4% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 5.3% | 1.9% |
| Eric Anderson | 10.8% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 12.9% | 7.0% | 2.9% |
| William Herlihy | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 8.3% | 18.8% | 56.5% |
| Mateus Guimaraes | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 29.4% | 25.4% |
| Lewis Fowler-Gerace | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 15.2% | 17.1% | 8.0% |
| Shannon Killian | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.