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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland4.83+5.77vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63+5.63vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.19+6.77vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University4.78+2.98vs Predicted
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5Brown University4.49+3.20vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.79+5.60vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College4.06+3.53vs Predicted
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8Boston College4.89-1.58vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.64+2.99vs Predicted
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10Harvard University4.52-1.86vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-0.03vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.70+0.05vs Predicted
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13Stanford University4.05-2.41vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University3.76-2.43vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin2.72+0.62vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy4.34-7.09vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.48-4.30vs Predicted
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18University of Connecticut2.51-1.52vs Predicted
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19Boston University3.63-6.95vs Predicted
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20Salve Regina University3.92-9.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.77St. Mary's College of Maryland4.830.1%1st Place
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7.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.1%1st Place
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9.77Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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6.98Roger Williams University4.780.1%1st Place
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8.2Brown University4.490.1%1st Place
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11.6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.790.0%1st Place
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10.53Dartmouth College4.060.0%1st Place
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6.42Boston College4.890.1%1st Place
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11.99College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
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8.14Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
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10.97Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.0%1st Place
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12.05Tufts University3.700.0%1st Place
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10.59Stanford University4.050.0%1st Place
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11.57Old Dominion University3.760.0%1st Place
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15.62University of Wisconsin2.720.0%1st Place
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8.91U. S. Naval Academy4.340.1%1st Place
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12.7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.480.0%1st Place
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16.48University of Connecticut2.510.0%1st Place
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12.05Boston University3.630.0%1st Place
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11.0Salve Regina University3.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Menninger | 9.9% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Ingham | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Morris | 5.5% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% |
| Cy Thompson | 9.0% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Fred Strammer | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Sam Padnos | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 3.3% |
| Sam Williams | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Tyler Sinks | 11.0% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Mac Mace | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 3.6% |
| Alan Palmer | 6.1% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Sommer | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 2.0% |
| Massimo Soriano | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 3.8% |
| Kevin Laube | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.8% |
| Stephanie Roble | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 3.8% |
| Brendan Boylan | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 16.6% | 27.8% |
| Robert Vann | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Ian Holtzworth | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 6.7% |
| Sean Andrew | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 15.6% | 36.1% |
| Daniel Perkins | 3.7% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 3.8% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.