Race 3B

south-series

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Peter Girard 12.6% 14.2% 16.0% 17.3% 13.9% 10.5% 7.4% 5.6% 2.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Frederick Finkenauer 6.0% 8.6% 8.9% 11.3% 13.4% 13.0% 14.0% 11.7% 7.4% 5.0% 0.5% 0.2%
Aaron Klein 10.3% 10.5% 11.8% 13.5% 14.7% 13.7% 12.6% 7.8% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Mara Terchunian 0.5% 0.7% 1.6% 2.1% 3.2% 3.9% 5.0% 8.5% 12.6% 19.2% 22.4% 20.3%
Nathaniel Barton 3.5% 4.4% 6.5% 6.7% 8.4% 11.4% 13.1% 14.2% 15.1% 9.2% 4.9% 2.6%
Peter Christensen 18.6% 20.0% 20.0% 13.9% 12.1% 7.8% 4.5% 2.2% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lydia Grasberger 37.5% 27.0% 15.7% 10.1% 5.6% 2.6% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexander Calderwood 4.8% 6.8% 8.9% 8.1% 10.3% 12.8% 14.5% 12.5% 10.5% 7.0% 2.9% 0.9%
Henry Lewis 3.6% 4.0% 5.6% 10.1% 9.9% 13.6% 14.1% 13.9% 12.9% 7.6% 4.2% 0.5%
Colby Jennings 0.5% 1.0% 2.4% 2.6% 2.5% 3.1% 4.2% 7.2% 11.3% 17.8% 25.6% 21.8%
Kimberly Jackman 1.6% 2.2% 1.6% 3.1% 4.6% 5.7% 7.1% 12.2% 17.2% 19.1% 16.3% 9.3%
Kelsey Laforest 0.5% 0.6% 1.0% 1.2% 1.4% 1.9% 2.5% 3.8% 6.4% 13.5% 22.9% 44.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.