Race 4B

south-series

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Frederick Finkenauer 6.4% 6.6% 10.5% 10.2% 12.1% 15.1% 14.6% 11.2% 8.2% 3.7% 1.3% 0.1%
Peter Girard 11.8% 17.6% 15.0% 15.8% 15.8% 9.5% 7.3% 4.6% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Lydia Grasberger 36.7% 25.9% 16.5% 10.9% 5.5% 3.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Peter Christensen 17.9% 19.6% 18.8% 16.0% 12.1% 8.4% 3.8% 2.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Aaron Klein 9.2% 10.0% 14.6% 14.8% 13.2% 13.5% 10.1% 6.9% 4.8% 2.3% 0.6% 0.0%
Nathaniel Barton 3.8% 3.6% 6.1% 7.3% 8.3% 11.5% 14.3% 15.0% 16.0% 8.7% 3.8% 1.6%
Henry Lewis 4.0% 6.2% 5.5% 7.9% 10.1% 10.7% 14.3% 13.5% 13.2% 8.7% 4.8% 1.1%
Alexander Calderwood 5.8% 6.5% 7.5% 8.5% 10.7% 13.2% 13.2% 14.6% 10.9% 6.0% 2.1% 1.0%
Mara Terchunian 0.9% 1.0% 1.3% 1.6% 3.6% 3.3% 5.4% 9.8% 11.2% 19.8% 24.1% 18.0%
Colby Jennings 0.9% 0.9% 1.6% 2.4% 2.8% 2.7% 5.4% 6.7% 12.4% 16.2% 25.5% 22.5%
Kimberly Jackman 2.2% 1.4% 1.5% 3.4% 4.3% 6.7% 7.5% 11.9% 13.9% 20.9% 16.3% 10.0%
Kelsey Laforest 0.4% 0.7% 1.1% 1.2% 1.5% 2.0% 3.5% 3.1% 6.4% 13.0% 21.4% 45.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.