Race 5B

south-series

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Peter Girard 13.2% 14.1% 14.0% 16.8% 16.2% 11.7% 7.4% 5.2% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Aaron Klein 7.5% 12.2% 12.2% 13.4% 15.2% 15.4% 12.6% 7.3% 2.9% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Lydia Grasberger 36.9% 25.0% 18.3% 10.5% 4.9% 3.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mara Terchunian 0.4% 0.9% 1.2% 2.5% 2.8% 3.2% 6.9% 10.6% 13.6% 17.0% 20.6% 20.3%
Mike Kanare 10.3% 15.0% 16.6% 14.5% 12.8% 13.0% 9.7% 5.0% 2.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Peter Christensen 18.5% 18.6% 18.2% 15.4% 12.8% 9.5% 4.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexander Calderwood 5.7% 5.9% 8.1% 8.6% 11.5% 14.0% 14.6% 14.1% 10.4% 4.7% 1.9% 0.5%
Lauren Javaly 0.5% 0.4% 0.8% 1.7% 2.9% 3.4% 5.7% 5.7% 11.0% 14.8% 18.4% 34.7%
Henry Lewis 4.1% 3.4% 5.1% 9.1% 11.7% 13.1% 17.0% 15.3% 10.8% 6.9% 2.8% 0.7%
Colby Jennings 0.6% 1.2% 1.5% 2.3% 2.8% 3.9% 4.6% 9.5% 13.4% 17.0% 22.2% 21.0%
Ryan Carlucci 1.4% 1.6% 1.7% 2.4% 3.9% 5.0% 8.5% 12.1% 17.6% 18.5% 16.4% 10.9%
Martin Hooker 0.9% 1.7% 2.3% 2.8% 2.5% 4.3% 7.4% 13.5% 16.0% 19.1% 17.6% 11.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.