← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Northeastern University2.16+2.51vs Predicted
-
2University of Rhode Island1.83+2.08vs Predicted
-
3Boston University2.84-0.58vs Predicted
-
4University of Vermont1.72+0.29vs Predicted
-
5Salve Regina University-0.77+4.37vs Predicted
-
6Yale University0.62+0.52vs Predicted
-
7Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.81-0.95vs Predicted
-
8Tufts University1.47-3.31vs Predicted
-
9Sacred Heart University-0.86+0.49vs Predicted
-
10Fairfield University-0.42-1.39vs Predicted
-
12University of Connecticut-0.48-3.08vs Predicted
-
13Wesleyan University-1.15-2.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.51Northeastern University2.160.2%1st Place
-
4.08University of Rhode Island1.830.1%1st Place
-
2.42Boston University2.840.3%1st Place
-
4.29University of Vermont1.720.1%1st Place
-
9.37Salve Regina University-0.770.0%1st Place
-
6.52Yale University0.620.0%1st Place
-
6.05Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.810.0%1st Place
-
4.69Tufts University1.470.1%1st Place
-
9.49Sacred Heart University-0.860.0%1st Place
-
8.61Fairfield University-0.420.0%1st Place
-
8.92University of Connecticut-0.480.0%1st Place
-
10.04Wesleyan University-1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Christensen | 17.2% | 18.1% | 18.0% | 16.7% | 13.7% | 9.0% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Girard | 11.6% | 15.9% | 15.5% | 15.0% | 15.8% | 12.5% | 7.7% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 34.8% | 26.9% | 16.3% | 10.7% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mike Kanare | 11.4% | 12.1% | 15.2% | 16.6% | 15.3% | 12.4% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mara Terchunian | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 15.9% | 20.9% | 21.1% |
| Henry Lewis | 4.5% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 16.8% | 17.4% | 12.4% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Alexander Calderwood | 4.9% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 15.6% | 14.3% | 14.1% | 9.8% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Aaron Klein | 10.5% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 13.7% | 14.3% | 12.8% | 13.8% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Colby Jennings | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 19.3% | 21.6% | 19.4% |
| Ryan Carlucci | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 12.3% | 18.7% | 16.4% | 16.3% | 9.5% |
| Martin Hooker | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 16.9% | 18.1% | 16.1% | 13.9% |
| Lauren Javaly | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 10.3% | 16.7% | 19.6% | 34.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.