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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.47+3.75vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.84+0.39vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.83+1.02vs Predicted
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4Yale University0.62+2.59vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.72-0.73vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.16-2.58vs Predicted
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7Sacred Heart University-0.86+2.44vs Predicted
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8Fairfield University-0.42+0.61vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University-0.77-0.64vs Predicted
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11Wesleyan University-1.15-0.99vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.81-5.73vs Predicted
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13University of Connecticut-0.48-4.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.75Tufts University1.470.1%1st Place
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2.39Boston University2.840.4%1st Place
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4.02University of Rhode Island1.830.1%1st Place
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6.59Yale University0.620.0%1st Place
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4.27University of Vermont1.720.1%1st Place
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3.42Northeastern University2.160.2%1st Place
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9.44Sacred Heart University-0.860.0%1st Place
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8.61Fairfield University-0.420.0%1st Place
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9.36Salve Regina University-0.770.0%1st Place
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10.01Wesleyan University-1.150.0%1st Place
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6.27Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.810.0%1st Place
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8.88University of Connecticut-0.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Klein | 9.0% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 14.8% | 15.0% | 17.4% | 10.6% | 6.7% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 35.4% | 26.8% | 17.2% | 10.4% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Girard | 13.4% | 13.0% | 17.9% | 14.9% | 16.8% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Lewis | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 16.2% | 15.4% | 15.2% | 12.6% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 0.6% |
| Mike Kanare | 11.2% | 14.5% | 15.3% | 14.7% | 15.2% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Peter Christensen | 18.2% | 20.6% | 17.8% | 14.9% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 4.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colby Jennings | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 18.3% | 17.0% | 24.4% |
| Ryan Carlucci | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 11.9% | 15.6% | 18.9% | 14.3% | 11.4% |
| Mara Terchunian | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 14.5% | 17.3% | 21.4% | 17.7% |
| Lauren Javaly | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 13.8% | 22.3% | 33.6% |
| Alexander Calderwood | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 16.5% | 16.7% | 11.1% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Martin Hooker | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 8.0% | 12.8% | 16.2% | 18.0% | 18.3% | 11.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.