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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.84+1.43vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.83+2.03vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University-0.77+6.36vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.16-0.49vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.72-0.71vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.81+0.11vs Predicted
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7Yale University0.62-0.49vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.47-3.32vs Predicted
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9University of Connecticut-0.48-0.25vs Predicted
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10Sacred Heart University-0.86-0.50vs Predicted
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11Fairfield University-0.42-2.23vs Predicted
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12Wesleyan University-1.15-1.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.43Boston University2.840.3%1st Place
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4.03University of Rhode Island1.830.1%1st Place
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9.36Salve Regina University-0.770.0%1st Place
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3.51Northeastern University2.160.2%1st Place
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4.29University of Vermont1.720.1%1st Place
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6.11Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.810.0%1st Place
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6.51Yale University0.620.0%1st Place
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4.68Tufts University1.470.1%1st Place
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8.75University of Connecticut-0.480.0%1st Place
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9.5Sacred Heart University-0.860.0%1st Place
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8.77Fairfield University-0.420.0%1st Place
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10.05Wesleyan University-1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lydia Grasberger | 33.2% | 27.9% | 17.8% | 11.2% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Girard | 12.0% | 14.8% | 16.3% | 16.6% | 15.8% | 12.0% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mara Terchunian | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 12.9% | 17.6% | 19.6% | 21.1% |
| Peter Christensen | 17.9% | 18.8% | 16.5% | 17.3% | 12.5% | 9.3% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mike Kanare | 11.5% | 12.6% | 15.2% | 15.2% | 15.7% | 13.2% | 8.8% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Calderwood | 4.6% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 14.5% | 17.7% | 13.2% | 10.1% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Henry Lewis | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 13.6% | 15.3% | 15.9% | 11.0% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 1.0% |
| Aaron Klein | 11.1% | 9.5% | 14.5% | 12.1% | 14.4% | 14.7% | 11.3% | 7.6% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Martin Hooker | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 14.2% | 17.8% | 18.1% | 15.4% | 10.2% |
| Colby Jennings | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 12.7% | 16.4% | 22.6% | 21.0% |
| Ryan Carlucci | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 9.1% | 12.9% | 16.9% | 17.5% | 15.4% | 12.1% |
| Lauren Javaly | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 10.2% | 16.2% | 20.6% | 33.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.