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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.29+1.15vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.33+1.17vs Predicted
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3William and Mary0.87+1.89vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech1.15+0.63vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.81-1.05vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.22-3.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.15Georgetown University3.290.4%1st Place
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3.17George Washington University2.330.1%1st Place
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4.89William and Mary0.870.0%1st Place
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4.63Virginia Tech1.150.0%1st Place
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3.95U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.810.1%1st Place
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2.21U. S. Naval Academy3.220.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJ Reiter | 36.7% | 30.7% | 18.4% | 10.3% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Riley Engelberger | 15.0% | 18.7% | 24.8% | 23.0% | 12.8% | 5.7% |
| Patrick Mazzeo | 4.2% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 12.8% | 25.0% | 46.3% |
| Nicholas Brady | 4.3% | 5.1% | 9.0% | 19.3% | 29.2% | 33.1% |
| Vincent Storino | 6.7% | 10.2% | 18.6% | 24.1% | 26.6% | 13.8% |
| Peter Hogan | 33.1% | 31.0% | 21.8% | 10.5% | 3.3% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.