Race 10B

central-series

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Ryan Mullins 34.9% 27.1% 17.6% 9.3% 6.6% 3.5% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Joseph Kelleher 26.4% 25.7% 20.4% 15.9% 7.7% 2.3% 1.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Sam Millham 6.7% 8.0% 10.9% 12.2% 17.4% 20.9% 14.1% 7.7% 1.8% 0.3%
Jeff Goodrich 15.3% 19.3% 22.8% 19.5% 12.9% 5.5% 3.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
Thomas Presti 6.0% 7.2% 9.3% 12.8% 15.9% 18.0% 16.8% 9.7% 4.1% 0.2%
Kevin Walsh 5.2% 5.6% 6.4% 11.3% 13.0% 17.6% 18.6% 14.7% 7.1% 0.5%
Lucas Campbell 2.7% 3.7% 7.0% 10.1% 13.5% 17.3% 19.1% 18.0% 7.6% 1.0%
Tom McKenzie 1.7% 2.2% 3.7% 5.8% 8.1% 9.1% 14.7% 25.6% 25.5% 3.6%
Gabrielle Heine 1.0% 0.9% 1.6% 2.9% 4.4% 5.2% 9.4% 19.8% 44.7% 10.1%
Noah Aschen 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 1.4% 3.4% 9.0% 84.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.