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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.39+5.05vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.37+4.98vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.07+7.90vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.42+5.10vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.48+0.65vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.06+0.23vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.29-0.97vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.58-0.13vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.40-2.93vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont1.05+0.53vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.00+0.08vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.40-1.39vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.07-0.62vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.27-3.99vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.03-1.02vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire-0.37-0.94vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy-0.65-1.20vs Predicted
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18Boston College2.02-11.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.05Dartmouth College2.3910.8%1st Place
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6.98Brown University2.378.6%1st Place
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10.9Northeastern University1.072.5%1st Place
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9.1University of Rhode Island1.423.5%1st Place
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5.65Harvard University2.4810.8%1st Place
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6.23Bowdoin College2.0611.2%1st Place
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6.03Yale University2.2910.7%1st Place
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7.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.586.2%1st Place
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6.07Roger Williams University2.4011.1%1st Place
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10.53University of Vermont1.052.2%1st Place
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11.08Connecticut College1.002.9%1st Place
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10.61U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.403.3%1st Place
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12.38Boston University1.071.8%1st Place
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10.01Tufts University1.272.9%1st Place
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13.98Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.031.2%1st Place
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15.06University of New Hampshire-0.370.9%1st Place
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15.8Maine Maritime Academy-0.650.8%1st Place
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6.67Boston College2.028.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Satterberg | 10.8% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Blake Behrens | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 1.6% |
| Tyler Nash | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 10.8% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bonauto | 11.2% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 10.7% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Robert Ulmer | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 11.1% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 1.2% |
| William Hurd | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 1.8% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 1.4% |
| Porter Bell | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 13.8% | 10.5% | 5.1% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Luke Kenahan | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 16.3% | 18.9% | 17.0% |
| Ted Richardsson | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 12.5% | 24.3% | 27.1% |
| Griffin Stolp | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 10.2% | 20.2% | 42.8% |
| Jack Redmond | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.