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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.29+1.14vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.33+1.20vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.22-0.84vs Predicted
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4William and Mary0.87+0.91vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech1.15-0.30vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.81-3.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.14Georgetown University3.290.4%1st Place
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3.2George Washington University2.330.1%1st Place
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2.16U. S. Naval Academy3.220.3%1st Place
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4.91William and Mary0.870.0%1st Place
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4.7Virginia Tech1.150.0%1st Place
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3.88U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.810.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJ Reiter | 35.8% | 31.6% | 20.1% | 8.5% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Riley Engelberger | 14.9% | 18.1% | 23.8% | 24.4% | 13.1% | 5.7% |
| Peter Hogan | 34.7% | 30.5% | 22.2% | 9.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Patrick Mazzeo | 3.1% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 14.5% | 26.3% | 44.9% |
| Nicholas Brady | 3.3% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 17.2% | 28.8% | 36.0% |
| Vincent Storino | 8.2% | 9.3% | 18.5% | 25.6% | 26.6% | 11.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.