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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.29+0.66vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.33+0.52vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech1.15+0.74vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.81-2.93vs Predicted
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7William and Mary0.87-2.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.66Georgetown University3.290.6%1st Place
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2.52George Washington University2.330.2%1st Place
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3.74Virginia Tech1.150.1%1st Place
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3.07U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.810.1%1st Place
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4.01William and Mary0.870.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJ Reiter | 56.8% | 26.1% | 12.6% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Riley Engelberger | 20.5% | 32.2% | 26.8% | 16.0% | 4.5% |
| Nicholas Brady | 6.5% | 11.0% | 18.4% | 30.4% | 33.7% |
| Vincent Storino | 10.8% | 22.5% | 28.8% | 24.4% | 13.5% |
| Patrick Mazzeo | 5.4% | 8.2% | 13.4% | 25.7% | 47.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.