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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.29+1.13vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.22-0.83vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.33-0.80vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech1.15-0.37vs Predicted
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7William and Mary0.87-2.00vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.81-4.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.13Georgetown University3.290.4%1st Place
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2.17U. S. Naval Academy3.220.4%1st Place
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3.2George Washington University2.330.1%1st Place
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4.63Virginia Tech1.150.0%1st Place
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5.0William and Mary0.870.0%1st Place
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3.87U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.810.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJ Reiter | 35.5% | 31.5% | 22.0% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 0.6% |
| Peter Hogan | 37.4% | 27.9% | 19.2% | 12.3% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Riley Engelberger | 13.8% | 18.5% | 23.5% | 26.1% | 14.4% | 3.7% |
| Nicholas Brady | 3.7% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 17.0% | 31.0% | 32.7% |
| Patrick Mazzeo | 1.4% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 12.0% | 24.6% | 49.1% |
| Vincent Storino | 8.2% | 10.0% | 18.9% | 25.8% | 24.1% | 13.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.