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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.33+2.28vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.22+0.23vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.53-1.08vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.81-0.13vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech1.15-0.30vs Predicted
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7William and Mary0.87-2.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.28George Washington University2.330.1%1st Place
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2.23U. S. Naval Academy3.220.3%1st Place
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1.92Georgetown University3.530.4%1st Place
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3.87U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.810.1%1st Place
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4.7Virginia Tech1.150.0%1st Place
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5.0William and Mary0.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley Engelberger | 11.8% | 17.6% | 26.2% | 24.8% | 14.2% | 5.4% |
| Peter Hogan | 33.2% | 30.2% | 21.0% | 11.9% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Andy Reiter | 42.5% | 33.2% | 16.4% | 6.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Vincent Storino | 7.3% | 9.5% | 20.1% | 26.8% | 24.8% | 11.5% |
| Nicholas Brady | 3.4% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 16.9% | 31.2% | 34.4% |
| Patrick Mazzeo | 1.8% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 13.4% | 25.4% | 47.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.