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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.53+0.94vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech1.15+2.65vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.22-0.78vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.33-0.74vs Predicted
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7William and Mary0.87-1.98vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.81-4.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.94Georgetown University3.530.4%1st Place
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4.65Virginia Tech1.150.0%1st Place
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2.22U. S. Naval Academy3.220.3%1st Place
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3.26George Washington University2.330.1%1st Place
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5.02William and Mary0.870.0%1st Place
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3.91U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.810.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Reiter | 42.6% | 32.3% | 15.5% | 7.5% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Brady | 2.9% | 6.1% | 10.0% | 18.4% | 28.9% | 33.7% |
| Peter Hogan | 31.9% | 31.3% | 24.2% | 8.7% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| Riley Engelberger | 13.1% | 15.9% | 25.6% | 26.9% | 14.7% | 3.8% |
| Patrick Mazzeo | 2.2% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 12.9% | 24.0% | 50.0% |
| Vincent Storino | 7.3% | 9.9% | 18.3% | 25.6% | 27.0% | 11.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.