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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.53+0.98vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.33+1.25vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech1.15+1.63vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.22-1.77vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.81-1.04vs Predicted
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8William and Mary0.87-3.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.98Georgetown University3.530.4%1st Place
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3.25George Washington University2.330.1%1st Place
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4.63Virginia Tech1.150.1%1st Place
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2.23U. S. Naval Academy3.220.3%1st Place
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3.96U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.810.1%1st Place
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4.96William and Mary0.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Reiter | 42.8% | 29.3% | 18.1% | 7.4% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Riley Engelberger | 12.4% | 19.3% | 25.1% | 22.7% | 15.5% | 5.0% |
| Nicholas Brady | 5.0% | 4.8% | 8.5% | 18.2% | 30.6% | 32.9% |
| Peter Hogan | 30.5% | 32.4% | 24.8% | 9.3% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Vincent Storino | 6.8% | 10.8% | 16.1% | 26.9% | 24.7% | 14.7% |
| Patrick Mazzeo | 2.5% | 3.4% | 7.4% | 15.5% | 24.9% | 46.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.