← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Georgetown University3.53+0.93vs Predicted
-
2Virginia Tech1.15+2.65vs Predicted
-
3George Washington University2.33+0.25vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.81-0.15vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Naval Academy3.22-2.68vs Predicted
-
6William and Mary0.87-1.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.93Georgetown University3.530.4%1st Place
-
4.65Virginia Tech1.150.0%1st Place
-
3.25George Washington University2.330.1%1st Place
-
3.85U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.810.1%1st Place
-
2.32U. S. Naval Academy3.220.3%1st Place
-
4.99William and Mary0.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Reiter | 44.8% | 28.5% | 17.9% | 7.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Nicholas Brady | 3.0% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 15.8% | 30.6% | 33.6% |
| Riley Engelberger | 12.3% | 17.8% | 26.2% | 24.6% | 14.4% | 4.7% |
| Vincent Storino | 7.3% | 10.9% | 17.2% | 29.3% | 24.3% | 11.0% |
| Peter Hogan | 30.1% | 31.5% | 21.9% | 10.2% | 5.5% | 0.8% |
| Patrick Mazzeo | 2.5% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 13.1% | 23.9% | 49.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.