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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.29+1.15vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.33+1.22vs Predicted
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3William and Mary0.87+1.87vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.22-1.83vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech1.15-0.30vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.81-3.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.15Georgetown University3.290.4%1st Place
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3.22George Washington University2.330.1%1st Place
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4.87William and Mary0.870.0%1st Place
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2.17U. S. Naval Academy3.220.3%1st Place
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4.7Virginia Tech1.150.0%1st Place
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3.89U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.810.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJ Reiter | 36.4% | 29.8% | 20.8% | 9.2% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Riley Engelberger | 14.2% | 18.2% | 23.5% | 24.3% | 14.9% | 4.9% |
| Patrick Mazzeo | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 14.0% | 26.3% | 44.5% |
| Peter Hogan | 34.4% | 30.2% | 23.2% | 9.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Nicholas Brady | 3.6% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 16.6% | 27.9% | 36.9% |
| Vincent Storino | 7.2% | 11.2% | 17.1% | 26.4% | 25.8% | 12.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.