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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.29+1.14vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.33+1.20vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.22-0.85vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.81-0.16vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech1.15-1.31vs Predicted
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8William and Mary0.87-3.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.14Georgetown University3.290.4%1st Place
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3.2George Washington University2.330.1%1st Place
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2.15U. S. Naval Academy3.220.4%1st Place
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3.84U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.810.1%1st Place
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4.69Virginia Tech1.150.0%1st Place
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4.97William and Mary0.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJ Reiter | 35.6% | 33.0% | 17.9% | 9.5% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Riley Engelberger | 14.0% | 18.4% | 25.3% | 22.4% | 15.3% | 4.6% |
| Peter Hogan | 35.5% | 30.1% | 22.0% | 9.0% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Vincent Storino | 8.9% | 8.8% | 19.3% | 26.9% | 24.4% | 11.7% |
| Nicholas Brady | 3.6% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 17.5% | 30.1% | 34.6% |
| Patrick Mazzeo | 2.4% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 14.7% | 24.3% | 47.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.