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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.29+1.13vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.81+1.84vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.33+0.20vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.22-1.85vs Predicted
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6William and Mary0.87-1.02vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech1.15-2.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.13Georgetown University3.290.4%1st Place
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3.84U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.810.1%1st Place
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3.2George Washington University2.330.1%1st Place
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2.15U. S. Naval Academy3.220.3%1st Place
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4.98William and Mary0.870.0%1st Place
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4.7Virginia Tech1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJ Reiter | 37.4% | 30.0% | 19.1% | 10.1% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Vincent Storino | 7.5% | 13.3% | 17.6% | 23.7% | 25.0% | 12.9% |
| Riley Engelberger | 14.8% | 16.3% | 25.1% | 25.8% | 14.3% | 3.7% |
| Peter Hogan | 35.0% | 31.0% | 21.4% | 9.4% | 3.0% | 0.2% |
| Patrick Mazzeo | 2.3% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 12.2% | 25.9% | 47.8% |
| Nicholas Brady | 3.0% | 4.8% | 9.6% | 18.8% | 29.2% | 34.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.