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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.40+9.70vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.27+7.92vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.40+2.92vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.37+3.02vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.39+1.01vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.58+1.92vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.29-0.86vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.48-2.33vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.02-2.36vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.06-3.82vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.05-0.33vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.07+0.07vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.42-3.95vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.00-2.78vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.03-0.81vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.07-5.19vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire-0.37-1.95vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy-0.65-2.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.402.6%1st Place
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9.92Tufts University1.273.2%1st Place
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5.92Roger Williams University2.4011.2%1st Place
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7.02Brown University2.378.1%1st Place
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6.01Dartmouth College2.3911.3%1st Place
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7.92Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.586.2%1st Place
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6.14Yale University2.2910.1%1st Place
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5.67Harvard University2.4811.8%1st Place
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6.64Boston College2.028.0%1st Place
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6.18Bowdoin College2.069.7%1st Place
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10.67University of Vermont1.053.1%1st Place
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12.07Boston University1.072.4%1st Place
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9.05University of Rhode Island1.425.3%1st Place
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11.22Connecticut College1.002.5%1st Place
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14.19Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.031.1%1st Place
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10.81Northeastern University1.072.3%1st Place
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15.05University of New Hampshire-0.370.7%1st Place
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15.83Maine Maritime Academy-0.650.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Whiteway | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 1.5% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 11.2% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Behrens | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 11.3% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Robert Ulmer | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 11.8% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Redmond | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bonauto | 9.7% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 4.2% | 1.2% |
| Porter Bell | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 13.8% | 10.2% | 4.0% |
| Tyler Nash | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| William Hurd | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 2.9% |
| Luke Kenahan | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 16.1% | 18.8% | 16.0% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 1.7% |
| Ted Richardsson | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 8.5% | 12.3% | 23.4% | 28.4% |
| Griffin Stolp | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 10.0% | 21.1% | 43.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.