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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.53+0.97vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.33+1.25vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech1.15+1.62vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.22-1.77vs Predicted
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5William and Mary0.87+0.01vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.81-2.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.97Georgetown University3.530.4%1st Place
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3.25George Washington University2.330.1%1st Place
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4.62Virginia Tech1.150.1%1st Place
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2.23U. S. Naval Academy3.220.3%1st Place
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5.01William and Mary0.870.0%1st Place
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3.91U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.810.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Reiter | 43.4% | 28.4% | 18.5% | 7.3% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Riley Engelberger | 12.8% | 18.0% | 25.1% | 24.1% | 15.2% | 4.8% |
| Nicholas Brady | 5.1% | 4.9% | 8.4% | 18.6% | 30.8% | 32.2% |
| Peter Hogan | 30.5% | 32.4% | 23.8% | 10.5% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Patrick Mazzeo | 2.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 13.3% | 23.8% | 49.7% |
| Vincent Storino | 6.2% | 11.5% | 17.8% | 26.2% | 25.9% | 12.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.