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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.53+0.96vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.81+0.85vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.33-0.74vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech1.15-0.34vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.22-3.70vs Predicted
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7William and Mary0.87-2.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.96Georgetown University3.530.4%1st Place
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3.85U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.810.1%1st Place
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3.26George Washington University2.330.1%1st Place
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4.66Virginia Tech1.150.0%1st Place
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2.3U. S. Naval Academy3.220.3%1st Place
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4.97William and Mary0.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Reiter | 43.2% | 30.9% | 15.6% | 8.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Vincent Storino | 7.3% | 11.7% | 19.6% | 24.5% | 23.7% | 13.2% |
| Riley Engelberger | 12.5% | 17.2% | 25.9% | 25.4% | 14.6% | 4.4% |
| Nicholas Brady | 3.7% | 4.8% | 10.5% | 17.0% | 30.6% | 33.4% |
| Peter Hogan | 30.8% | 30.9% | 22.1% | 10.4% | 4.9% | 0.9% |
| Patrick Mazzeo | 2.5% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 14.3% | 24.9% | 47.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.