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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara3.06+1.82vs Predicted
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2Santa Barbara City College2.29+2.51vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley1.62+3.53vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.84+1.79vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.31+2.65vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley0.64+3.93vs Predicted
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7California State University Monterey Bay0.14+4.98vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California1.44-0.73vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.62+0.96vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley1.02-1.50vs Predicted
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11California State University Monterey Bay0.14+0.98vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles0.92-3.04vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University1.14-4.59vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles-0.44-0.24vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Cruz-0.30-1.37vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.19-3.02vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-0.54-2.73vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles-1.02-2.34vs Predicted
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19University of California at Berkeley-0.74-4.08vs Predicted
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20University of California at San Diego-0.11-7.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.82University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.3%1st Place
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4.51Santa Barbara City College2.290.1%1st Place
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6.53University of California at Berkeley1.620.1%1st Place
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5.79University of California at Santa Barbara1.840.1%1st Place
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7.65University of California at Berkeley1.310.0%1st Place
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9.93University of California at Berkeley0.640.0%1st Place
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11.98California State University Monterey Bay0.140.0%1st Place
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7.27University of Southern California1.440.1%1st Place
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9.96Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.620.0%1st Place
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8.5University of California at Berkeley1.020.0%1st Place
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11.98California State University Monterey Bay0.140.0%1st Place
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8.96University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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8.41Arizona State University1.140.0%1st Place
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13.76University of California at Los Angeles-0.440.0%1st Place
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13.63University of California at Santa Cruz-0.300.0%1st Place
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12.98Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.190.0%1st Place
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14.27University of California at San Diego-0.540.0%1st Place
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15.66University of California at Los Angeles-1.020.0%1st Place
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14.92University of California at Berkeley-0.740.0%1st Place
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12.46University of California at San Diego-0.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kristopher Swanson | 31.3% | 22.1% | 17.6% | 12.1% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Silas Barton | 14.7% | 14.7% | 14.6% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Oakes | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cooper Weitz | 8.1% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Keenan | 3.8% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Todosiev | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Alicia Ward | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 12.5% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Christina Gasparich | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maria-Elena Falahee-Walker | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Cole Fargo | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alicia Ward | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 12.5% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Smith | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ben Gerber | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 0.0% |
| Annarose Leff | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 0.0% |
| Belle Lemoine | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 7.9% | 0.0% |
| Jason Barr | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Daniele | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 15.3% | 31.2% | 0.0% |
| Rohan Sinha | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 12.4% | 15.9% | 18.1% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Hopper | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.