← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Harvard University4.52+7.06vs Predicted
-
2Yale University4.19+7.58vs Predicted
-
3Dartmouth College4.06+7.34vs Predicted
-
4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+6.97vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63+2.58vs Predicted
-
6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.79+5.57vs Predicted
-
7Boston College4.89-0.19vs Predicted
-
8College of Charleston3.64+3.87vs Predicted
-
9Brown University4.49-0.88vs Predicted
-
10Stanford University4.05+0.23vs Predicted
-
11St. Mary's College of Maryland4.83-4.09vs Predicted
-
12Old Dominion University3.76-0.20vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.48+0.19vs Predicted
-
14University of Connecticut2.51+2.47vs Predicted
-
15Salve Regina University3.92-4.15vs Predicted
-
16U. S. Naval Academy4.34-7.14vs Predicted
-
17University of Wisconsin2.72-1.33vs Predicted
-
18Tufts University3.70-6.09vs Predicted
-
19Boston University3.63-6.89vs Predicted
-
20Roger Williams University4.78-12.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.06Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
-
9.58Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
-
10.34Dartmouth College4.060.0%1st Place
-
10.97Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.0%1st Place
-
7.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.1%1st Place
-
11.57Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.790.0%1st Place
-
6.81Boston College4.890.1%1st Place
-
11.87College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
-
8.12Brown University4.490.1%1st Place
-
10.23Stanford University4.050.0%1st Place
-
6.91St. Mary's College of Maryland4.830.1%1st Place
-
11.8Old Dominion University3.760.0%1st Place
-
13.19U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.480.0%1st Place
-
16.47University of Connecticut2.510.0%1st Place
-
10.85Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
-
8.86U. S. Naval Academy4.340.1%1st Place
-
15.67University of Wisconsin2.720.0%1st Place
-
11.91Tufts University3.700.0%1st Place
-
12.11Boston University3.630.0%1st Place
-
7.09Roger Williams University4.780.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alan Palmer | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Joseph Morris | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Sam Williams | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Andrew Sommer | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 2.0% |
| Samuel Ingham | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sam Padnos | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 3.3% |
| Tyler Sinks | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mac Mace | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 3.5% |
| Fred Strammer | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Kevin Laube | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.0% |
| Michael Menninger | 10.5% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Stephanie Roble | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 3.7% |
| Ian Holtzworth | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 8.0% |
| Sean Andrew | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 9.9% | 14.7% | 36.9% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.6% |
| Robert Vann | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Brendan Boylan | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 17.2% | 26.3% |
| Massimo Soriano | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 4.3% |
| Daniel Perkins | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 3.6% |
| Cy Thompson | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.