← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Bowdoin College2.06+5.18vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College2.39+3.76vs Predicted
-
3Yale University2.29+2.79vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University2.40+1.76vs Predicted
-
5Boston College2.02+1.47vs Predicted
-
6Harvard University2.48-0.58vs Predicted
-
7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.58+0.56vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.40+2.25vs Predicted
-
9Brown University1.86-0.08vs Predicted
-
10Boston University1.07+1.75vs Predicted
-
11University of Rhode Island1.42-2.17vs Predicted
-
12Tufts University1.27-2.36vs Predicted
-
13Connecticut College1.00-2.22vs Predicted
-
14Northeastern University1.07-3.54vs Predicted
-
15University of Vermont1.05-4.78vs Predicted
-
16Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-2.12vs Predicted
-
17Maine Maritime Academy-0.82-1.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.18Bowdoin College2.0610.0%1st Place
-
5.76Dartmouth College2.3911.6%1st Place
-
5.79Yale University2.2910.0%1st Place
-
5.76Roger Williams University2.4011.4%1st Place
-
6.47Boston College2.028.9%1st Place
-
5.42Harvard University2.4813.3%1st Place
-
7.56Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.587.2%1st Place
-
10.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.403.0%1st Place
-
8.92Brown University1.864.3%1st Place
-
11.75Boston University1.072.1%1st Place
-
8.83University of Rhode Island1.424.2%1st Place
-
9.64Tufts University1.273.3%1st Place
-
10.78Connecticut College1.002.6%1st Place
-
10.46Northeastern University1.073.0%1st Place
-
10.22University of Vermont1.053.5%1st Place
-
13.88Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.031.1%1st Place
-
15.33Maine Maritime Academy-0.820.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Bonauto | 10.0% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 11.6% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 10.0% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 11.4% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Redmond | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 13.3% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Ulmer | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 2.2% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Porter Bell | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 14.8% | 13.0% | 6.2% |
| Tyler Nash | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 4.4% | 1.5% |
| William Hurd | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 4.0% |
| Joshua Dillon | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 2.5% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 2.1% |
| Andy Leshaw | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 13.4% | 24.7% | 24.6% |
| Isaac Thompson | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 17.9% | 55.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.