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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.93+1.23vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.72+0.56vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.33-0.06vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93+1.08vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles-0.23+1.97vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego0.39+0.10vs Predicted
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7California State University Monterey Bay0.61-1.29vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University0.04-1.32vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz0.02-2.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.23University of Southern California2.930.3%1st Place
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2.56University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.3%1st Place
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2.94University of Southern California2.330.2%1st Place
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5.08Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.1%1st Place
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6.97University of California at Los Angeles-0.230.0%1st Place
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6.1University of California at San Diego0.390.0%1st Place
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5.71California State University Monterey Bay0.610.0%1st Place
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6.68Arizona State University0.040.0%1st Place
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6.72University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Hecht | 35.0% | 28.3% | 22.2% | 8.7% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Henken | 27.4% | 27.2% | 21.6% | 13.7% | 6.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 20.7% | 21.9% | 25.1% | 15.9% | 10.2% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 5.2% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 16.3% | 19.4% | 17.0% | 13.1% | 8.6% | 4.0% |
| John Beutter | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 20.8% | 30.5% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 16.9% | 19.9% | 16.6% | 11.7% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 14.3% | 15.9% | 19.1% | 17.2% | 13.6% | 7.1% |
| Kyle McManus | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 16.6% | 19.8% | 23.2% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 14.1% | 17.5% | 20.3% | 23.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.