← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Southern California2.93+1.24vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Santa Barbara2.72+0.56vs Predicted
-
3University of Southern California2.33-0.06vs Predicted
-
4Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93+1.06vs Predicted
-
5Arizona State University0.04+1.56vs Predicted
-
6California State University Monterey Bay0.61-0.28vs Predicted
-
7University of California at San Diego0.39-0.88vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Los Angeles-0.23-0.91vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Santa Cruz0.02-2.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.24University of Southern California2.930.3%1st Place
-
2.56University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.3%1st Place
-
2.94University of Southern California2.330.2%1st Place
-
5.06Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.0%1st Place
-
6.56Arizona State University0.040.0%1st Place
-
5.72California State University Monterey Bay0.610.0%1st Place
-
6.12University of California at San Diego0.390.0%1st Place
-
7.09University of California at Los Angeles-0.230.0%1st Place
-
6.7University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Hecht | 35.0% | 28.1% | 21.9% | 9.5% | 4.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Henken | 27.3% | 27.7% | 20.7% | 14.0% | 6.7% | 3.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 20.8% | 21.2% | 25.1% | 16.2% | 11.2% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 4.9% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 18.0% | 18.9% | 16.9% | 14.2% | 7.6% | 3.6% |
| Kyle McManus | 1.8% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 12.0% | 13.6% | 15.1% | 20.0% | 21.6% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 3.3% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 12.9% | 15.8% | 18.4% | 17.9% | 12.7% | 8.0% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 9.8% | 13.3% | 18.5% | 19.0% | 17.3% | 11.1% |
| John Beutter | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 11.2% | 14.4% | 21.8% | 32.4% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 10.3% | 13.7% | 17.1% | 20.4% | 23.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.