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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.93+1.17vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.72+0.42vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.33-0.09vs Predicted
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4California State University Monterey Bay0.61+1.42vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego0.39+0.74vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93-1.12vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz0.02-0.71vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University0.04-1.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.17University of Southern California2.930.4%1st Place
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2.42University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.3%1st Place
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2.91University of Southern California2.330.2%1st Place
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5.42California State University Monterey Bay0.610.0%1st Place
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5.74University of California at San Diego0.390.0%1st Place
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4.88Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.1%1st Place
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6.29University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.0%1st Place
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6.16Arizona State University0.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Hecht | 37.0% | 28.2% | 20.4% | 10.4% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Henken | 28.7% | 28.8% | 23.0% | 12.0% | 6.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 19.1% | 22.4% | 27.3% | 17.7% | 7.9% | 4.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 2.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 12.8% | 20.0% | 19.6% | 18.0% | 14.1% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 12.2% | 15.3% | 21.1% | 21.9% | 18.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 5.2% | 5.0% | 9.8% | 20.7% | 22.3% | 16.7% | 13.2% | 7.1% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 7.4% | 11.7% | 15.9% | 23.3% | 33.0% |
| Kyle McManus | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 13.5% | 20.5% | 22.2% | 27.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.