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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.93+1.17vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.72+0.42vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.33-0.10vs Predicted
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4California State University Monterey Bay0.61+1.43vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93-0.05vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego0.39-0.29vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz0.02-0.72vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University0.04-1.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.17University of Southern California2.930.4%1st Place
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2.42University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.3%1st Place
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2.9University of Southern California2.330.2%1st Place
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5.43California State University Monterey Bay0.610.0%1st Place
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4.95Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.0%1st Place
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5.71University of California at San Diego0.390.0%1st Place
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6.28University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.0%1st Place
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6.15Arizona State University0.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Hecht | 37.0% | 28.5% | 20.4% | 9.7% | 3.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Henken | 28.7% | 29.0% | 22.5% | 12.9% | 5.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 19.2% | 22.3% | 27.6% | 17.3% | 8.5% | 4.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 2.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 12.9% | 19.4% | 18.8% | 20.1% | 13.2% |
| Joseph Lausten | 4.8% | 5.4% | 9.4% | 18.9% | 21.9% | 18.1% | 14.7% | 6.8% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 13.1% | 16.4% | 21.1% | 18.0% | 19.8% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 16.7% | 22.6% | 33.1% |
| Kyle McManus | 1.6% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 13.7% | 19.3% | 23.8% | 26.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.