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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.93+1.14vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.33+0.92vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.72-0.58vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93+0.92vs Predicted
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5California State University Monterey Bay0.61+0.42vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz0.02+0.25vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego0.39-1.22vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University0.04-1.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.14University of Southern California2.930.4%1st Place
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2.92University of Southern California2.330.2%1st Place
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2.42University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.3%1st Place
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4.92Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.0%1st Place
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5.42California State University Monterey Bay0.610.0%1st Place
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6.25University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.0%1st Place
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5.78University of California at San Diego0.390.0%1st Place
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6.15Arizona State University0.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Hecht | 37.5% | 30.1% | 18.4% | 9.7% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 19.0% | 21.6% | 27.3% | 17.8% | 9.8% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Henken | 28.6% | 28.1% | 25.2% | 11.4% | 4.8% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Joseph Lausten | 4.6% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 17.6% | 21.9% | 17.9% | 13.9% | 7.6% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 3.9% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 14.8% | 18.9% | 20.4% | 19.5% | 12.3% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 8.4% | 13.0% | 18.0% | 19.7% | 32.9% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 12.8% | 13.8% | 20.0% | 21.2% | 20.4% |
| Kyle McManus | 1.4% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 14.3% | 17.8% | 24.6% | 26.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.