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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.93+1.15vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.72+0.42vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.33-0.10vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego0.39+1.73vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz0.02+1.30vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93-1.12vs Predicted
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7California State University Monterey Bay0.61-1.55vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University0.04-1.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.15University of Southern California2.930.4%1st Place
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2.42University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.3%1st Place
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2.9University of Southern California2.330.2%1st Place
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5.73University of California at San Diego0.390.0%1st Place
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6.3University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.0%1st Place
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4.88Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.1%1st Place
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5.45California State University Monterey Bay0.610.0%1st Place
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6.15Arizona State University0.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Hecht | 37.3% | 28.9% | 19.8% | 10.1% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Henken | 28.7% | 28.7% | 24.0% | 10.7% | 6.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 19.5% | 22.0% | 27.0% | 18.4% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 2.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 10.5% | 17.9% | 19.4% | 20.7% | 19.0% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 7.5% | 12.3% | 17.3% | 22.6% | 32.4% |
| Joseph Lausten | 5.4% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 20.8% | 22.9% | 17.5% | 12.3% | 7.2% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 3.5% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 14.3% | 17.2% | 19.1% | 20.5% | 13.7% |
| Kyle McManus | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 12.8% | 20.3% | 22.5% | 27.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.