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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.93+1.14vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.72+0.43vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.33-0.11vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93+0.94vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz0.02+1.27vs Predicted
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6Arizona State University0.04+0.20vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego0.39-1.23vs Predicted
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8California State University Monterey Bay0.61-2.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.14University of Southern California2.930.4%1st Place
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2.43University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.3%1st Place
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2.89University of Southern California2.330.2%1st Place
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4.94Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.0%1st Place
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6.27University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.0%1st Place
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6.2Arizona State University0.040.0%1st Place
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5.77University of California at San Diego0.390.0%1st Place
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5.35California State University Monterey Bay0.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Hecht | 37.4% | 29.0% | 20.7% | 8.7% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Sterling Henken | 28.9% | 27.8% | 23.4% | 12.4% | 6.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 19.6% | 21.3% | 28.7% | 17.0% | 8.7% | 3.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Joseph Lausten | 4.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 19.6% | 20.1% | 18.4% | 14.4% | 7.6% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 7.8% | 12.4% | 17.3% | 25.1% | 29.6% |
| Kyle McManus | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 7.7% | 14.2% | 18.1% | 20.0% | 31.4% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 2.9% | 3.1% | 6.4% | 11.7% | 14.2% | 20.5% | 21.4% | 19.8% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 2.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 15.1% | 21.0% | 20.0% | 18.2% | 11.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.