← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Southern California2.93+1.14vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Santa Barbara2.72+0.44vs Predicted
-
3University of Southern California2.33-0.10vs Predicted
-
4Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93+0.94vs Predicted
-
5Arizona State University0.04+1.24vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Santa Cruz0.02+0.24vs Predicted
-
7California State University Monterey Bay0.61-1.55vs Predicted
-
8University of California at San Diego0.39-2.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.14University of Southern California2.930.4%1st Place
-
2.44University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.3%1st Place
-
2.9University of Southern California2.330.2%1st Place
-
4.94Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.0%1st Place
-
6.24Arizona State University0.040.0%1st Place
-
6.24University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.0%1st Place
-
5.45California State University Monterey Bay0.610.0%1st Place
-
5.65University of California at San Diego0.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Hecht | 37.6% | 29.1% | 20.4% | 8.5% | 3.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Sterling Henken | 28.5% | 28.4% | 23.3% | 11.8% | 6.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 19.6% | 21.4% | 28.0% | 17.7% | 8.2% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Joseph Lausten | 4.6% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 20.1% | 19.6% | 17.7% | 15.0% | 7.6% |
| Kyle McManus | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 8.4% | 12.5% | 16.8% | 24.6% | 29.6% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 7.9% | 13.3% | 17.6% | 20.5% | 32.3% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 3.4% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 14.5% | 17.3% | 21.1% | 19.1% | 13.4% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 2.4% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 11.1% | 18.8% | 20.9% | 19.8% | 16.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.