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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.93+1.13vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.33+0.79vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93+1.62vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.72-1.61vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz0.02+0.78vs Predicted
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6California State University Monterey Bay0.61-0.96vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego0.39-1.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.13University of Southern California2.930.4%1st Place
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2.79University of Southern California2.330.2%1st Place
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4.62Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.1%1st Place
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2.39University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.3%1st Place
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5.78University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.0%1st Place
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5.04California State University Monterey Bay0.610.0%1st Place
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5.23University of California at San Diego0.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Hecht | 38.1% | 28.4% | 20.6% | 9.0% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Peter Wong | 18.7% | 26.2% | 26.9% | 17.7% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 0.3% |
| Joseph Lausten | 5.9% | 5.3% | 10.2% | 21.3% | 25.7% | 19.6% | 12.0% |
| Sterling Henken | 29.4% | 28.3% | 23.2% | 13.1% | 5.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 9.0% | 16.3% | 22.4% | 43.9% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 3.3% | 4.2% | 7.7% | 17.4% | 23.8% | 24.2% | 19.4% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 2.8% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 12.5% | 19.2% | 29.1% | 24.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.