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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.40+4.86vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.48+3.43vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.40+7.04vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.39+1.75vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.02+1.36vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.29-0.20vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.86+1.62vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.08+2.36vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.07+1.50vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.06-4.10vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.58-3.44vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.07-0.36vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.56-1.47vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.42-5.35vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy-0.82+0.22vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-2.32vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College0.89-6.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.86Roger Williams University2.4010.6%1st Place
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5.43Harvard University2.4813.5%1st Place
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10.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.403.0%1st Place
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5.75Dartmouth College2.3910.8%1st Place
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6.36Boston College2.029.2%1st Place
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5.8Yale University2.2911.2%1st Place
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8.62Brown University1.864.9%1st Place
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10.36Tufts University1.083.0%1st Place
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10.5Northeastern University1.073.1%1st Place
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5.9Bowdoin College2.0610.7%1st Place
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7.56Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.586.4%1st Place
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11.64Boston University1.072.6%1st Place
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11.53University of Vermont0.562.1%1st Place
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8.65University of Rhode Island1.424.5%1st Place
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15.22Maine Maritime Academy-0.820.4%1st Place
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13.68Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.9%1st Place
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10.1Connecticut College0.893.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Pfrang | 10.6% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 13.5% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 2.3% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 10.8% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jack Redmond | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 11.2% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Oliver Keeves | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 6.9% | 3.1% |
| Joshua Dillon | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 8.1% | 2.5% |
| Sam Bonauto | 10.7% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Ulmer | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Porter Bell | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 13.9% | 5.9% |
| Gavin Sanborn | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 5.4% |
| Tyler Nash | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Isaac Thompson | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 14.8% | 55.9% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 13.2% | 24.9% | 21.3% |
| Henry Scholz | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 1.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.