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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University4.49+7.20vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.89+4.57vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University4.78+4.15vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland4.83+2.85vs Predicted
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5Stanford University4.05+5.20vs Predicted
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6Yale University4.19+3.75vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63+0.90vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.64+3.88vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University3.76+2.48vs Predicted
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10Harvard University4.52-1.81vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.79+0.55vs Predicted
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12University of Connecticut2.51+4.58vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College4.06-2.44vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-3.12vs Predicted
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15Boston University3.63-2.89vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University3.92-5.16vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy4.34-8.21vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin2.72-2.19vs Predicted
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19Tufts University3.70-7.27vs Predicted
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20U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.48-7.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.2Brown University4.490.1%1st Place
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6.57Boston College4.890.1%1st Place
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7.15Roger Williams University4.780.1%1st Place
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6.85St. Mary's College of Maryland4.830.1%1st Place
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10.2Stanford University4.050.0%1st Place
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9.75Yale University4.190.0%1st Place
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7.9U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.1%1st Place
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11.88College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
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11.48Old Dominion University3.760.0%1st Place
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8.19Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
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11.55Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.790.0%1st Place
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16.58University of Connecticut2.510.0%1st Place
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10.56Dartmouth College4.060.0%1st Place
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10.88Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.0%1st Place
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12.11Boston University3.630.0%1st Place
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10.84Salve Regina University3.920.0%1st Place
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8.79U. S. Naval Academy4.340.1%1st Place
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15.81University of Wisconsin2.720.0%1st Place
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11.73Tufts University3.700.0%1st Place
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12.99U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fred Strammer | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Tyler Sinks | 10.9% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cy Thompson | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Michael Menninger | 10.0% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Kevin Laube | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Joseph Morris | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% |
| Samuel Ingham | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Mac Mace | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% |
| Stephanie Roble | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 2.7% |
| Alan Palmer | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Sam Padnos | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.8% |
| Sean Andrew | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 15.9% | 39.5% |
| Sam Williams | 4.0% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 1.9% |
| Andrew Sommer | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 2.4% |
| Daniel Perkins | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 3.1% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 1.9% |
| Robert Vann | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Brendan Boylan | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 16.8% | 25.9% |
| Massimo Soriano | 3.8% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 3.2% |
| Ian Holtzworth | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 6.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.